Bella's Bites

Bella's Bites

Friday, 5 December 2014

Cyclone update - Hagupit (aka Ruby)

UPDATED WITH DATA FROM 6 AM 8 Dec (Philippine time)

Attached below is the latest tracking data from the University of Wisconsin - Madison school of tropical weather.  This shows the current position and predicted track.  It is important to note that #Hagupit (aka #RubyPH) is already reduced to a tropical storm so it has lost its intensity.  The associated rain and cloud for the next 3 days is shown in the data from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology data (screenshots for the 3 days as of midnight each day).

For the data from the BOM, you can see the isobars (which means lines of same pressure) which shows the pressure is increasing slowly, which indicates the low pressure system is gradually losing strength.

Because sometimes just facts are hard to obtain, I have attached below some pictures from different sources.
I am not an expert in meteorological events so please defer to them, and as such I just present the facts from some of these resources and don't try and interpret them.  However I would also encourage you to only get facts from reliable, trained sources.

The University of Wisconsis-Madison has a tropical weather watch site which provides useful information and tracking data
- See - CIMSS Tracking (http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/storm.php?&basin=westpac&sname=22W&invest=NO&zoom=4&img=1&vars=11111000000000000000&loop=0).

 The data from the Uni of Wisconsin offers projections as well as wind classifications.  4 = 125knots (230km/h), 3 = 110 knots (200 km/h), 2 = 95 knots (175 km/h), 1= 75knots (140 km/h).

This shows the storm has lost its intensity and will be a tropical storm as it leaves the Philippines.


Data showing projected path and wind strength of Hagupit (aka Ruby)

Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) current position and forecasts for the next 3 days)






Above from http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=mslp-precip&tz=ACST&area=SEA&model=G&chartSubmit=Refresh+View



The BOM also has global sea temperature analysis.  From the data across November, you can see a large patch of very warm sea water (above average), which then produces the heat to power strong atmospheric conditions (such as cyclones).


Stay safe, be prepared, don't panic.  At this point in time, Bella's will be open on Saturday but, like everyone, we will be monitoring the situation to ensure we are all safe.

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